Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9577cf244e24620acc80fa7a1689f42316de09808f6537817cc0b7eb2f17c812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arantxa Rusof Arantxa Rus, Suzan Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arantxa Rus | 54c | 25,284$13,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.24 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Suzan Lamens | 63c | 16,666$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.58 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suzan Lamens | 31c | 10,901$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.74 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Arantxa Rus | 36c | 9,730$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.72 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 8,235$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.93 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Suzan Lamens | 63c | 6,626$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.71 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Suzan Lamens | 58c | 3,696$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.81 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Suzan Lamens | 66c | 3,250$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Arantxa Rus | 34c | 3,230$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.8 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Arantxa Rus | 57c | 2,268$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.82 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Suzan Lamens | 48c | 1,631$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.21 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Suzan Lamens | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arantxa Rus | 68c | 1,491$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.92 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Suzan Lamens | 65c | 888.16$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.02 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suzan Lamens | 56c | 869.47$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Suzan Lamens | 63c | 810.81$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Suzan Lamens | 49c | 679.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suzan Lamens | 34c | 644.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Arantxa Rus | 36c | 500.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.86 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Suzan Lamens | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Suzan Lamens | 21c | 409.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Suzan Lamens | 65c | 382.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Suzan Lamens | 12c | 364.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Suzan Lamens | 63c | 321$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Suzan Lamens | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Suzan Lamens | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Suzan Lamens | 36c | 277.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Suzan Lamens | 63c | 268.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Suzan Lamens | 18c | 266.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…fd25backed Suzan Lamens | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…c35abacked Suzan Lamens | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Suzan Lamens | 24c | 207.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Suzan Lamens | 57c | 206$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Arantxa Rus | 41c | 205.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Arantxa Rus | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Arantxa Rus | 34c | 198$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Arantxa Rus | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arantxa Rus | 78c | 165.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Suzan Lamens | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suzan Lamens | 64c | 159$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Arantxa Rus | 37c | 145$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Arantxa Rus | 72c | 135.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Suzan Lamens | 26c | 133.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arantxa Rus | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Arantxa Rus | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Suzan Lamens | 23c | 102.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Arantxa Rus | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Arantxa Rus | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Arantxa Rus | 73c | 95.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Arantxa Rus | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 92.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Suzan Lamens | 39c | 91.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Suzan Lamens | 25c | 85.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Suzan Lamens | 31c | 77.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 136 | 18.4%25 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Arantxa Rus | 36c | 72.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arantxa Rus | 36c | 70.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 55.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Arantxa Rus | 56c | 54.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 474 | 65.2%309 W · 165 L | +28.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Arantxa Rus | 80c | 52.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Suzan Lamens | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Suzan Lamens | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Arantxa Rus | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…741bbacked Suzan Lamens | 30c | 48.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Suzan Lamens | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 830 | 56.1%466 W · 364 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Arantxa Rus | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suzan Lamens | 63c | 42.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…f862backed Suzan Lamens | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arantxa Rus | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arantxa Rus | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Arantxa Rus | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Suzan Lamens | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | -32.9wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Suzan Lamens | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Arantxa Rus | 73c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Arantxa Rus | 76c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 144 | 96.5%139 W · 5 L | +36.7wins | +0.25per pick | 71cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.