Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9735135f654742adbe9e18b7df41c58be19534cbabff6508f143bc752a927f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Nottinghamshire | 29c | 29,155$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,607.67 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Surrey | 74c | 11,317$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.94 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Surrey | 66c | 9,273$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.59 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Nottinghamshire | 23c | 9,132$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.18 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 75c | 5,001$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.2 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Nottinghamshire | 22c | 3,650$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.41 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Surrey | 76c | 2,174$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.15 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Nottinghamshire | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Surrey | 73c | 1,630$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.57 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Surrey | 78c | 1,555$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.25 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 66c | 1,476$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.42 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 77c | 1,145$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.15 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Nottinghamshire | 21c | 1,134$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Surrey | 73c | 1,072$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.21 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Surrey | 62c | 1,002$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.81 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 25c | 924.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.01 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Surrey | 71c | 843.98$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nottinghamshire | 25c | 842.68$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.1 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Surrey | 65c | 684.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Surrey | 59c | 659.62$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nottinghamshire | 26c | 611.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Surrey | 57c | 569.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Surrey | 62c | 478.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Surrey | 73c | 424.13$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Nottinghamshire | 53c | 377.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Surrey | 56c | 369.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 33c | 361.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…285cbacked Nottinghamshire | 6c | 339.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +369.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Surrey | 63c | 319.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…23e0backed Surrey | 54c | 298.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 57c | 209.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nottinghamshire | 43c | 202.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nottinghamshire | 21c | 201.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nottinghamshire | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 198.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Nottinghamshire | 75c | 187$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Nottinghamshire | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Surrey | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nottinghamshire | 43c | 167$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nottinghamshire | 36c | 164.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Surrey | 73c | 155$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Surrey | 68c | 146.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4781backed Nottinghamshire | 25c | 129.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Surrey | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Nottinghamshire | 47c | 124.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Surrey | 63c | 106.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Nottinghamshire | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Nottinghamshire | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Surrey | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Surrey | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 54c | 95.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Surrey | 65c | 90.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Nottinghamshire | 23c | 86.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nottinghamshire | 40c | 86.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Nottinghamshire | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Nottinghamshire | 24c | 59.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Nottinghamshire | 45c | 58.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Surrey | 26c | 55.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…ea34backed Surrey | 64c | 54.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Surrey | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nottinghamshire | 45c | 53.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Nottinghamshire | 45c | 50.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2678backed Surrey | 78c | 46.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Surrey | 55c | 45.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Surrey | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Surrey | 64c | 38.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Surrey | 45c | 36.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Nottinghamshire | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Nottinghamshire | 37c | 35.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Surrey | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…07e6backed Surrey | 66c | 30.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Surrey | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Surrey | 53c | 29.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nottinghamshire | 45c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nottinghamshire | 38c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Surrey | 45c | 23.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Surrey | 54c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 110 | 6.4%7 W · 103 L | -18.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Nottinghamshire | 62c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3758…5c70backed Nottinghamshire | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Surrey | 79c | 13.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.