MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97da233e240fd074567437b42fb00caba0b97ff40e4ce3832bbba838a6facacd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd9…cd04backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 11,921$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 6,924$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.48 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 3,595$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.32 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 1,328$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.23 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 999.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 494.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 407.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 403.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 317.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 292.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 276$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 265.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 258.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 224.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 220.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 207.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 189.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 182.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 169.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 160.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 153.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 77c | 138.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 132.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 112.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 108.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 107.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 52c | 99.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Doosan Bears | 35c | 94.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 82.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 72.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 63.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 60.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 57.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 53.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 53.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 51.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 50.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 41.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 41.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 35.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 32.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…15c6backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 32.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…1175backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…6463backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6184…77debacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…736ebacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…e438backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…dc23backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…56e2backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.