TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a74…56e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.39
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.63
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.04
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.8
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.49
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$117.61
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$144.02
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.22
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$98.09
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$161.56
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.25
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$105.51
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parrybacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$129.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.