CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cae7a0a6b05bbb6cb7c413b7c83a47b03cc6c115c624a091e925856f807cb52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof fnatic, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed fnatic | 78c | 6,670$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.44 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed fnatic | 68c | 5,201$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.68 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 20c | 3,832$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.33 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 37c | 3,635$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Misa Esports | 48c | 3,119$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed fnatic | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 1,519$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed fnatic | 2c | 1,394$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked fnatic | 55c | 1,393$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked fnatic | 62c | 1,275$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.08 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Misa Esports | 27c | 1,013$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.47 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed fnatic | 30c | 963.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 35c | 821$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.86 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 24c | 800.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.3 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 20c | 800$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.48 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked fnatic | 76c | 795.45$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 75c | 760.29$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed fnatic | 74c | 740.45$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.32 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed fnatic | 35c | 723.09$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports | 33c | 721.46$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.69 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Misa Esports | 19c | 528.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Misa Esports | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 65c | 485.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 28c | 421.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 351.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Misa Esports | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed fnatic | 26c | 334.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Misa Esports | 20c | 328$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 60c | 305$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked fnatic | 37c | 304.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Misa Esports | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 298$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked fnatic | 73c | 279.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Misa Esports | 17c | 278.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Misa Esports | 24c | 260$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Misa Esports | 24c | 254.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 53c | 215.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 36c | 215$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Misa Esports | 24c | 208$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Misa Esports | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed fnatic | 54c | 198.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 22c | 195.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed Misa Esports | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 44c | 166.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 27c | 163$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Misa Esports | 26c | 157.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports | 71c | 149$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked fnatic | 38c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked fnatic | 76c | 137.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Misa Esports | 10c | 127.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 125.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 294 | 37.1%109 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Misa Esports | 35c | 111.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports | 37c | 109.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…1e15backed Misa Esports | 30c | 108.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 14c | 106$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Misa Esports | 24c | 103.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed fnatic | 77c | 100.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed fnatic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed fnatic | 60c | 97.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed fnatic | 60c | 88.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Misa Esports | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Misa Esports | 19c | 79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked fnatic | 78c | 77.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…ecb3backed fnatic | 71c | 74.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports | 40c | 74.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Misa Esports | 28c | 73.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf729…7fdabacked fnatic | 75c | 73.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed fnatic | 47c | 71.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Misa Esports | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed fnatic | 70c | 65.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 64.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed fnatic | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports | 19c | 60.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed fnatic | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed fnatic | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked fnatic | 37c | 58.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 59c | 58.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked fnatic | 64c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…7befbacked fnatic | 68c | 54.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…57babacked fnatic | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed fnatic | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Misa Esports | 22c | 47.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked fnatic | 64c | 47.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Misa Esports | 26c | 42.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 38.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 74c | 32.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed fnatic | 78c | 29.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…1f64backed fnatic | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 64c | 28.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed fnatic | 64c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2101backed fnatic | 68c | 26.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked fnatic | 67c | 22.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed fnatic | 68c | 21.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed fnatic | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed fnatic | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked fnatic | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.