MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6571f7af65000804044758d4b12f291c32689076f9ab0ea7925cc9167c155b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof KT Wiz, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x400d…28afbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 4,172$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 1,699$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 45c | 1,685$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.28 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 1,594$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.78 | 759 | 44.4%337 W · 422 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 674.73$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.19 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 609.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 572.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.6 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 563.76$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.09 | 251 | 51.8%130 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…daeebacked KT Wiz | 24c | 559.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 317.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 304.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…cba4backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 264.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 259.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 858 | 35.7%306 W · 552 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 253.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked KT Wiz | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 249.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 211.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 53c | 210.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 206.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 143$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KT Wiz | 44c | 127.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 119.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KT Wiz | 65c | 116$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 93.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 643 | 54.1%348 W · 295 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked KT Wiz | 53c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 292 | 52.7%154 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 66.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 45c | 48.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed KT Wiz | 49c | 41.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked KT Wiz | 32c | 35.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -9.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 35.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 33.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 45c | 32.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 32.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 32.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 30.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 576 | 58.3%336 W · 240 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,107 | 79.6%881 W · 226 L | +32.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed KT Wiz | 74c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 20.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.