TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers49c15,594$7,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,630.56645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…db27backed Tigers58c9,998$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa57a…b574backed Guardians42c9,998$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians45c5,800$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians72c5,060$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.791,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians43c4,159$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Tigers66c3,857$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.675461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians44c3,700$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.7314048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers18c3,549$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers53c3,541$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.8860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers22c3,267$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.852,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers52c2,768$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.561,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers58c2,369$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.7721356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Tigers20c2,255$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.710746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Tigers55c2,009$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.952339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Guardians45c1,996$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.613145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Guardians45c1,871$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.7213353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f94…e165backed Tigers56c1,865$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Tigers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians43c1,568$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.591,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Tigers55c1,284$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0817866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians75c1,195$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Tigers56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6161250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers6c1,069$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Guardians47c1,059$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.165349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers13c1,000$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers54c999.96$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians46c970$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked Guardians45c806$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Tigers55c806$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.31553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Tigers56c749.85$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9211463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers33c716.48$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.454,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Guardians45c696.32$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.987663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a9…356abacked Tigers34c668.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.642015%3 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Guardians43c641$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.375,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Guardians43c576.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8615949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers56c550$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30820450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Guardians75c526.71$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians45c507.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Guardians46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Tigers55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Guardians46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7891749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bc…3667backed Tigers55c428.82$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x357c…1ea1backed Guardians46c419.2$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Tigers25c406.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians45c397.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…8ff2backed Guardians46c396.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdf…950ebacked Tigers56c373.23$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.011030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15b7…8a6bbacked Tigers56c370.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb4…7381backed Guardians46c365.8$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians47c357.45$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4539436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Tigers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc2…7ddebacked Tigers56c349.45$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafdf…9127backed Guardians46c338.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f7…6d77backed Tigers55c333.45$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians77c331.64$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Tigers57c325.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…f9cdbacked Guardians46c308.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Tigers55c306.82$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.752642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe155…c022backed Tigers56c303.32$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers58c300$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.442,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0419…4e83backed Guardians46c296.35$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc1…d442backed Tigers55c294.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Tigers41c292.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Tigers7c286.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2512335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a7…e1f9backed Guardians70c268.7$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…98acbacked Tigers20c250.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…b172backed Tigers17c236.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Guardians43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Guardians73c232.37$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0912…5739backed Guardians46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Guardians47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Tigers17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8213848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…f8e7backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Tigers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Tigers55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Tigers20c169.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.232626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Guardians34c158.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.821,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Tigers42c158.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e05…27ebbacked Tigers56c136.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…f409backed Guardians46c117.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff6…0b2dbacked Guardians46c111.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f3…9ca0backed Tigers56c111.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.081833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebe…a64ebacked Guardians46c111.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…29d9backed Guardians46c110.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers40c107.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be7…4049backed Guardians47c106.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ec…d6dbbacked Guardians47c105.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd1…cfccbacked Guardians46c100.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5347backed Guardians45c100.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5451151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.