Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1b6a927dcb985293bd397752f9df2334c1616e9d4889559871de2cf0251c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,520$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.54 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 1c | 2,485$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed No | 1c | 1,379$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 74c | 1,078$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.35 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 557.67$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 20c | 501.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 4c | 499.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 17c | 477.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.88 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 72c | 366.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 366.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 7c | 364.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 334.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 60c | 325.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 69c | 310$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 14c | 261.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 231.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 223.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 38c | 205.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 14c | 196.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 187$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 186.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 25c | 161.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 69c | 161.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 158.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 24c | 155.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 79c | 143.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 24c | 123.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 27c | 112$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 73c | 110.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 57c | 94.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 71c | 93.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 36c | 91.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 88.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 26c | 82.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 72c | 81.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 63c | 77.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 25c | 75.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 56c | 72.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 70c | 61.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 26c | 60.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 18c | 57.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 60c | 54.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 80c | 54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 38c | 50.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 79c | 47.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 25c | 46.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 80c | 44.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 36c | 42.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…435fbacked Yes | 38c | 38.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 65c | 35.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…cd63backed Yes | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…aec5backed Yes | 43c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 55c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 49c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 63c | 16.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…f63abacked Yes | 71c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.