Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994ada88bec2e79d24dcf7d31446a81a60a2c0e862077df3b85d59acd0291eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 12c | 1,568$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 2c | 1,526$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 582.28$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…b9edbacked Yes | 43c | 384.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 40c | 334.36$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 59c | 310$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 33c | 275.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 21c | 239.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 203.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 187$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 6c | 185$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…7f2abacked Yes | 40c | 183.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 180.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 179.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 39c | 174.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 169.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 37c | 164.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 155.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 147.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 141$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 122.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 43c | 121.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 58c | 113$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 109.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 14c | 107.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 58c | 103.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 102.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 18c | 101.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 21c | 99.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 56c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 24c | 94.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 22c | 93.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 43c | 92.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 13c | 86.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 23c | 83.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 77.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 76.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 22c | 75.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 33c | 70.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 69.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 23c | 66.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 35c | 64.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 61.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 74c | 59.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 56c | 58.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 34c | 57.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 56.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 35c | 55.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…98eabacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 55c | 54.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked No | 54c | 52.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 52.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 40c | 49.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…d282backed No | 80c | 47.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 46.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 43.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…2106backed No | 62c | 42.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…435fbacked Yes | 36c | 41.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…717bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 35.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…8de9backed Yes | 38c | 35.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddcc…d167backed Yes | 39c | 34.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 64c | 33.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…aec5backed Yes | 40c | 33.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 57c | 31.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 72c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 71c | 30.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 58c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 40c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.