Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34566938bb7f587230ccf45f52083b4b7ac80638e36b0368980884a04d1074e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 18c | 750$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 32c | 614.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 474.93$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 310.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 32c | 250.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 200.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 180.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 30c | 178.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 168.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 35c | 162.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 80c | 161.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 156.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 151.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 34c | 145.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 35c | 144.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 27c | 128.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 26c | 122.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 121$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 39c | 113.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 109.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 106.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…72cebacked Yes | 30c | 103.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 101.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…80a0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 99.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 36c | 96.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 95.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 35c | 91.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…b9edbacked Yes | 29c | 85.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 82.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 76.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 59.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 31c | 58.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 56.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…98eabacked Yes | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 27c | 55.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff1…4fe0backed Yes | 23c | 54.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 37c | 53.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 37c | 51.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 58c | 50.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…1a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 50.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 30c | 48.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 62c | 48.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 78c | 46.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed No | 80c | 42.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 33c | 42.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 41.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 38c | 41.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 65c | 39.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 38.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…1706backed Yes | 38c | 36.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 35.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 33.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 36c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 62c | 30.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…d78abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 38c | 28.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 69c | 27.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 63c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 61c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…3a4ebacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 70c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.