Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa150cfc55f4b3720862bfd339e8b10826b8a3acffba759c01a664e1ebaaa48cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 41c | 1,736$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.77 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 2c | 710.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 562.25$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 373.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 15c | 366.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 346$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 50c | 326.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 68c | 290.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 39c | 254.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 230.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 218$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 216.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 210.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 186$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 47c | 179.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 162$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Yes | 32c | 156.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…609abacked No | 64c | 156.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 154.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 27c | 141.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 31c | 137.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 113.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 103$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 29c | 101.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 59c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 85.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 45c | 84.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 50c | 82.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked No | 61c | 82.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…36fdbacked No | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 74.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 21c | 71.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 70.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 78c | 64.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 53c | 61.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 60.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 44c | 59.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 58.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 31c | 56.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 35c | 56.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…3bd8backed Yes | 29c | 55.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 54.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 53.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 25c | 51.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 22c | 51.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 49.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 48.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 66c | 45.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…f7e6backed Yes | 33c | 45.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…9e38backed Yes | 35c | 42.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 78c | 41.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 37c | 40.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 34c | 39.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 42c | 39.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 69c | 37.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 66c | 33.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 31.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 54c | 27.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 25.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…7c22backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…6087backed Yes | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 65c | 21.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 20.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 19.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…d52abacked No | 69c | 18.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.