Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23e13d87b98a911939bd74ed5db229e287241473c0e315bda690e035e61fa59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emilio Navaof Emilio Nava, Thiago Seyboth Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 19c | 3,343$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.53 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 1,914$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 1,018$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.42 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Emilio Nava | 69c | 960.54$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 11c | 915.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…590abacked Emilio Nava | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 299.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 249.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 28c | 238.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 232.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Emilio Nava | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 13c | 197.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 18c | 173.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Emilio Nava | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 16c | 157.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 148.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 144.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 136.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 125.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Emilio Nava | 71c | 120.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Emilio Nava | 65c | 78.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Emilio Nava | 74c | 77.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 70.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 31c | 69.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 25c | 66.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 59.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Emilio Nava | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 34.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…fb69backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…fcadbacked Emilio Nava | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Emilio Nava | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…15c0backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Thiago Seyboth Wildthis page
- Nava vs. Wild: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.