TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Tigers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$602,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Tigers50c414,250$208,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,736.9710844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers49c110,000$54,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,85086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers50c67,500$33,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,085.041,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers50c62,167$31,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,931.581,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers50c50,000$24,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,10041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rangers49c39,005$19,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,892.5514048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers51c21,310$10,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,503.7597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers49c20,410$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Rangers49c16,033$7,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,176.7222852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rangers51c15,247$7,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,462.3138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers49c12,000$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0901,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers55c10,236$5,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers56c8,248$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.52,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers50c7,333$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers50c6,160$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.391,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Rangers48c5,938$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.9211057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Tigers51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers48c5,756$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.5833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers49c5,749$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers66c4,980$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.1813352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rangers51c4,646$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.2653448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers50c4,223$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Rangers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.636154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers54c2,939$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers52c2,488$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.5443946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Tigers50c2,487$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.415352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers56c2,265$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.4232852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers49c1,985$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.4195850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers54c1,952$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.3341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Rangers52c1,785$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.6524551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Tigers48c1,773$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.035666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers50c1,764$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.8271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c45…0b91backed Tigers50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb586…c203backed Rangers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Tigers58c1,529$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8879759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers49c1,522$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c4…6f33backed Tigers53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…bd09backed Rangers47c1,508$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa6…1b13backed Tigers53c1,508$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f4…98dabacked Rangers47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…f910backed Rangers47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Tigers43c1,359$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1418837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers51c1,300$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7367…fed2backed Tigers53c1,291$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b08…b33bbacked Tigers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5309…05aebacked Rangers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Tigers36c1,056$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.799837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers50c961$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.51,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers47c929.97$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers46c865.1$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.155,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb381…921abacked Tigers47c752.85$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Tigers50c650.56$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2814649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c53…a22abacked Tigers28c566.46$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers48c565.3$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Tigers50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers55c553.9$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers48c541$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.232042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Tigers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Tigers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rangers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bf8…d3ffbacked Tigers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers51c488.16$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9617754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Tigers52c475$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2477847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers53c333$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4917239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Rangers51c301.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.969332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rangers56c300.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8439739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rangers51c299.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1926650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed Tigers43c268.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers43c267.48$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.974,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rangers55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1413145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers55c243$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Tigers51c235.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1513447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Tigers49c204.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers51c201.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.11,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab1…9671backed Rangers51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10091749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rangers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9815644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Rangers50c199.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.967846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers54c199.02$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers51c191$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.592,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers50c190.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers51c178.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.532,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers51c175.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Tigers57c161.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.389651%49 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.