Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Sacramento State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36bee2fd0d97b340fdfa5cf749623e5515e0cca43724c142b4f8f1a5ea6c4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Sacramento State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Portland State Vikings | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 10,606$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.11 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 6,496$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 4,161$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 2,825$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland State Vikings | 52c | 2,251$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Portland State Vikings | 54c | 1,174$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.96 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 913.59$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 820$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 28c | 743.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.05 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Portland State Vikings | 47c | 659.37$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.37 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…370ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 43c | 582.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 570.2$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 540.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Sacramento State Hornets | 52c | 536$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland State Vikings | 64c | 475.78$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sacramento State Hornets | 52c | 429.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland State Vikings | 51c | 425$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Portland State Vikings | 57c | 420.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 404.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 27c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland State Vikings | 64c | 377.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 55c | 363.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland State Vikings | 24c | 310.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Portland State Vikings | 51c | 310.07$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Portland State Vikings | 63c | 309.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 255.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Sacramento State Hornets | 44c | 227.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 220.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 211.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland State Vikings | 55c | 184.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 160.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 137.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Portland State Vikings | 62c | 128.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Portland State Vikings | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Portland State Vikings | 63c | 85.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 84.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 83.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Portland State Vikings | 51c | 78.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Portland State Vikings | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland State Vikings | 58c | 58.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland State Vikings | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 41c | 34.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Sacramento State Hornets | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Sacramento State Hornets | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Sacramento State Hornets | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Sacramento State Hornets | 47c | 24.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Portland State Vikings | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Portland State Vikings | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Portland State Vikings | 59c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Sacramento State Hornetsthis page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)Sacramento State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.