MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa587dec85bea70ff0ad2a12a73be0d8c78e3d72a8f623841769cd951492e43c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Reds, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Royals | 49c | 20,458$10,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,433.66 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Royals | 54c | 17,643$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,180.91 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Reds | 51c | 14,418$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.18 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 48c | 13,776$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,664.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 45c | 7,965$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 52c | 7,416$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.13 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Royals | 49c | 6,200$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…40acbacked Royals | 50c | 5,000$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 47c | 3,951$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.61 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 28c | 3,213$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 18c | 3,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.07 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 52c | 2,526$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.69 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Reds | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Royals | 49c | 1,996$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 33c | 1,869$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.19 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Reds | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 51c | 1,831$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.88 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 48c | 1,786$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 47c | 1,340$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.32 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 52c | 960.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 51c | 854$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.54 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Royals | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 53c | 722.17$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals | 70c | 682.81$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Reds | 25c | 606.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 53c | 567.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Reds | 12c | 492$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Reds | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Royals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 22c | 411.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 50c | 407.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 50c | 368$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Reds | 37c | 327.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Royals | 48c | 324.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 17c | 320$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Royals | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Reds | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 51c | 271.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Reds | 53c | 264.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Reds | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 29c | 219.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Reds | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Reds | 51c | 175.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 50c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 74c | 126.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 47c | 119.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…5ef7backed Royals | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…c155backed Royals | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9128…0b5abacked Royals | 50c | 106.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Reds | 52c | 104.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Royals | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…5d36backed Reds | 52c | 103.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Reds | 21c | 102.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…11d1backed Reds | 53c | 101.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Reds | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…5186backed Reds | 53c | 98.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…b4bbbacked Royals | 49c | 98.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…c3c6backed Reds | 53c | 98.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…4304backed Royals | 50c | 97.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…7399backed Royals | 49c | 97.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…91a5backed Royals | 50c | 96.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Reds | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…7bb2backed Reds | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 48c | 93.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…9dd0backed Reds | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…b150backed Royals | 49c | 91.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 56c | 90.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…e101backed Royals | 49c | 88.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Royals | 50c | 87.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…b157backed Reds | 52c | 87.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…f505backed Reds | 53c | 86.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…89d4backed Reds | 27c | 86.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…7251backed Reds | 53c | 84.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Reds | 51c | 78.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Reds | 27c | 76.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Royals | 53c | 76.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Reds | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Reds | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 45c | 63.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…37d9backed Reds | 19c | 62.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Reds | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Royals | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 48c | 44.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…230fbacked Royals | 75c | 41.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Royals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Reds | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.