TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Atlanta Braves48c51,985$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c14,399$7,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.9511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals54c9,188$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals52c6,474$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.126,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed St. Louis Cardinals52c5,269$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.2877647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed St. Louis Cardinals52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals53c2,850$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.665,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals52c2,630$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.231,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves47c2,365$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.374,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked St. Louis Cardinals51c2,092$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8816746.7%78 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals73c1,305$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals53c1,122$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.056,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed St. Louis Cardinals51c1,103$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.4449158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c1,024$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.522,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals52c975$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.11,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed St. Louis Cardinals53c917.26$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals75c894.22$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.248,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves47c890.62$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.592,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked St. Louis Cardinals53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals52c757$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed St. Louis Cardinals52c750.72$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3529752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Atlanta Braves47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals52c576.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9264452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Atlanta Braves26c576.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9929549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c452.04$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.452,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Atlanta Braves46c321.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.826747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed St. Louis Cardinals53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14132850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves46c299.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals53c286.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Atlanta Braves7c285.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked St. Louis Cardinals53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0113345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves17c220$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.282636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves47c216.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed St. Louis Cardinals52c194.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves47c191.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed St. Louis Cardinals53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1965248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked St. Louis Cardinals54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1940447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed St. Louis Cardinals52c167.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4241346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…0040backed Atlanta Braves47c157.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed St. Louis Cardinals52c144.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2339948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals54c143$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.781,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves32c137.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.691,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves35c135.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.585,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves35c134.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2319335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves43c134.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.495,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals52c129.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.042,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2246854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2272154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Atlanta Braves47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed St. Louis Cardinals52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals54c96.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.232,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed St. Louis Cardinals59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Braves37c89.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Atlanta Braves23c84.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Atlanta Braves43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed St. Louis Cardinals54c64.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6735149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals52c63.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.473,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals54c62.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.048545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked St. Louis Cardinals54c62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2915145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves41c56.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.042,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…6b0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals54c55.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.744257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…2d27backed Atlanta Braves39c54.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed St. Louis Cardinals54c49.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.915252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed St. Louis Cardinals54c46.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.191,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed St. Louis Cardinals51c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.542448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked St. Louis Cardinals54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0429747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4545045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9544745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0405…2491backed St. Louis Cardinals54c30.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.012231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d96…d8c2backed St. Louis Cardinals54c28.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed St. Louis Cardinals52c21.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3113054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals62c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed St. Louis Cardinals58c19.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0514351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed St. Louis Cardinals61c16.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.