Earnings · resolved market
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63b0b2a3b01d8363bf3c141db92e476fd9a8e4eeedef39ab382e571e40e3e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 6c | 4,666$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 4c | 1,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 21c | 1,013$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.16 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 78c | 629.82$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 75c | 324$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 78c | 225.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 77c | 190$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 7c | 150.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 114$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…4af2backed No | 24c | 114$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 32cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 113.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed No | 22c | 112.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 76c | 110.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 75c | 99.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed No | 23c | 85.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 27c | 71.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed No | 34c | 59.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…f720backed No | 24c | 42.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…9ff2backed Yes | 77c | 30.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed Yes | 78c | 28.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…660cbacked Yes | 78c | 27.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…7679backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…eeddbacked No | 62c | 22.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…96f2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…621bbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4716backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…4844backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.