TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees34c2,091$704 inLost-$703.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers61c1,005$613 inWon+$391.9571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Detroit Tigers63c700$441 inWon+$25955653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees18c639.87$116 inLost-$115.781,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers60c580.77$348 inWon+$232.312,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees37c545$202 inLost-$202.11,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed New York Yankees37c500$185 inLost-$18522638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees8c352.93$28 inLost-$28.173,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed New York Yankees4c308.68$11 inLost-$10.847852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers61c299$182 inWon+$116.612,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers60c293$176 inWon+$117.26,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Detroit Tigers79c212.83$168 inWon+$44.7318151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees16c199.76$33 inLost-$32.656,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Yankees40c195.5$78 inLost-$78.279543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers79c192.1$151 inWon+$412,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Detroit Tigers77c188.68$146 inWon+$42.6552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers61c178.15$109 inWon+$69.1785949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees40c100$40 inLost-$4023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed New York Yankees40c83.2$33 inLost-$33.2823240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers60c78.38$47 inWon+$31.482,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees37c69.73$26 inLost-$26.078,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers59c69.45$41 inWon+$28.471,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c77…8d9cbacked New York Yankees38c66.95$26 inLost-$25.655141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Yankees40c65$26 inLost-$25.791,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked New York Yankees35c64.93$23 inLost-$2313727.7%38 W · 99 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees41c60.98$25 inLost-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers63c53$33 inWon+$19.6146854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers63c53$33 inWon+$19.6172154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees46c50$23 inLost-$232,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees37c41.65$15 inLost-$15.4110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed New York Yankees40c32.96$13 inLost-$13.1644553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Detroit Tigers72c32.58$24 inWon+$9.0674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees40c27.3$11 inLost-$10.9227345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Detroit Tigers78c21.47$17 inWon+$4.827754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers61c17$10 inWon+$6.631,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.