MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa835378d59ff90f11b1bd229edca1946e04fbe35a575e943fa6f94588dd3bd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Samsung Lions, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7629…6141backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 6,000$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 1,909$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.51 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 9c | 1,102$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 9c | 999.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 25c | 926$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 75c | 750.41$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 599.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 422$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 377.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 366.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 318.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 19c | 309.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 304.55$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 30c | 304.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 303$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 301.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Samsung Lions | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 290.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 237.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed Samsung Lions | 34c | 220.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Samsung Lions | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 180.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 150.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 136.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 98.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 75.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Samsung Lions | 18c | 74.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 68.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 66.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lotte Giants | 60c | 58.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…b5a2backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 54.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lotte Giants | 74c | 52.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 51.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 44.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 41.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 39.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 39.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…04c8backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 25.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…e333backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…0c1bbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 22.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.