Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Colgate Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab95f2a36c39c5dd5be573221c0d6d59af8feb73d7840217d453b9fc8cf63852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colgate Raidersof Holy Cross Crusaders, Colgate Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colgate Raiders | 73c | 3,064$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Colgate Raiders | 35c | 2,384$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.55 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 39c | 1,880$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 57c | 1,352$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Colgate Raiders | 63c | 1,003$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.01 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colgate Raiders | 35c | 834$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Colgate Raiders | 62c | 699.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.53 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 16c | 626.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Colgate Raiders | 45c | 556.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 32c | 447.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 39c | 418.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 31c | 388.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 20c | 330.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…1caebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Colgate Raiders | 32c | 308.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 41c | 273$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colgate Raiders | 51c | 237.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Colgate Raiders | 67c | 196.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 16c | 190.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colgate Raiders | 36c | 176.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Colgate Raiders | 56c | 175.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 163$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colgate Raiders | 71c | 158.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colgate Raiders | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Colgate Raiders | 74c | 147.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colgate Raiders | 49c | 125.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 60c | 98.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 16c | 86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 55c | 67.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Colgate Raiders | 27c | 64.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Colgate Raiders | 45c | 62.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Colgate Raiders | 63c | 61.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Colgate Raiders | 74c | 54.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…f603backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Colgate Raiders | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 51c | 32.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Colgate Raiders | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Colgate Raiders | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.