MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf59fb57fec505aa3e0f431429602f4c1791e5417a2c5945562518ab5bfedcf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Lotte Giants, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 2c | 2,450$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lotte Giants | 1c | 1,847$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…9968backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 858.93$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 800$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 702.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 692.94$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 675.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 445.82$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 319.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 225$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 217.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 214$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 207$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 178.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 164.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 144.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 89.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 89.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…99c0backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 80.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 77.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 67.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…fc9bbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 63.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…2fdbbacked Lotte Giants | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…8699backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 49.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 49.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 46.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 43.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 40.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…cc13backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Kia Tigers | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.