Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d2584379699d1b7f5deaaab1dcbe5bf45eac4d0a2e44bb90e0f48850f9cc00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 76c | 3,111$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.81 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Yes | 24c | 2,796$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,552$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.14 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 22c | 1,097$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 20c | 1,082$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 1,054$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 1,009$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 952.35$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 16c | 877.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 73c | 800.45$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 20c | 700.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 18c | 679.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 24c | 614.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 22c | 577$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 2c | 542.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 365.85$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 78c | 354.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Yes | 16c | 250.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 15c | 237.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yes | 24c | 207.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 200.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 181.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 56c | 179.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…b965backed Yes | 20c | 140.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 36c | 135.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 49c | 91.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Yes | 16c | 87.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 48c | 86.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 21c | 73.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 70.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 27c | 65.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 61c | 57.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 52c | 55.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 78c | 35.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Yes | 52c | 32.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e3…1987backed Yes | 51c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 79c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 78c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 76c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.