Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559269dae3500f24b0a6ca94fd21d14371d88a6a96ff883ac39183ebf5b22590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 10,434$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.38 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 4c | 9,478$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 73c | 8,097$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.73 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,862$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 2,458$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.95 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 31c | 1,627$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 46c | 1,555$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.4 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…e2b1backed Yes | 57c | 1,428$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 47c | 1,385$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 46c | 1,225$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.05 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…8cf8backed Yes | 8c | 1,169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,044$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.06 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…7527backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 38c | 955.02$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.22 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 47c | 943.4$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 874.76$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 69c | 856.51$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 46c | 833.63$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.67 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 57c | 831.73$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 61c | 820.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 779.43$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 68c | 733.54$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 70c | 709.33$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 59c | 616$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 57c | 585$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 65c | 574.5$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 58c | 557.61$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 520.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 65c | 510.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.01 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Yes | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 48c | 482.76$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.14 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 472.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.72 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 49c | 469.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 4c | 396.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 381.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…b965backed Yes | 60c | 353.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 42c | 345.72$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 335.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 332.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 60c | 331.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…857abacked Yes | 58c | 301$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 35c | 292.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 291.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 32c | 283.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked No | 52c | 280.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 58c | 259.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 254.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 55c | 213.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 41c | 211.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed Yes | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 43c | 204.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed No | 47c | 204.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ee8ebacked No | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 53c | 183.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 41c | 182.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 39c | 179.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 50c | 178.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 59c | 169.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 59c | 169.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +15.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 53c | 166.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 293 | 64.5%189 W · 104 L | +29.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Yes | 61c | 159.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 41c | 158.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 157.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 157.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 32c | 148.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +152%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Yes | 59c | 147.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 42c | 126.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 56c | 109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 41c | 104.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…1b91backed Yes | 61c | 100.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 42c | 92.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 61c | 91.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 83.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 22c | 83.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 65c | 75.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 49c | 75.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 48c | 74.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 41c | 73.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 47c | 66.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 74c | 64.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.