TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes9c5,840$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,328.652,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c3,671$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.42,62042%1,101 W · 1,519 L+51.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24e…1be8backed No58c3,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c2,382$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.68744.8%39 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes20c2,329$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.283831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15bc…5d6cbacked No7c2,130$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c2,026$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.721,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes19c1,900$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.9935833%118 W · 240 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes72c1,806$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.572842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes70c1,774$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.85265.4%34 W · 18 L+7.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No25c1,623$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.639944.4%44 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes20c1,469$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.191,15549.3%569 W · 586 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c1,337$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3898635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes23c1,277$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.283435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c1,005$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.832,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes14c937.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.882030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No76c880.86$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.123964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes76c763.21$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5328746.3%133 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes32c656.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2514537.2%54 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c627.53$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6699344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes14c624.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.15450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+152%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No36c594.44$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.223619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes35c573.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.255749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No64c572$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.085070%35 W · 15 L+9.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c492$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36929364.5%189 W · 104 L+29.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes20c487.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.51,19646.2%553 W · 643 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No38c486$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.274057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes11c481.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.17879.2%8 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No36c395.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8614041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes77c386.19$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.799866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed No28c358.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+163.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes25c352.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.925927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed No71c349.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.755874.1%43 W · 15 L+11.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes20c341.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8143650.5%220 W · 216 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes31c316$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.042166.7%14 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes38c315.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8313163.4%83 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes77c310.79$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.794740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c286.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.141,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No26c283$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5830236.1%109 W · 193 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c273.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.831,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No27c273$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.031421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes72c254$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.143971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No80c248.75$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No78c243.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2339247.7%187 W · 205 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes67c238.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5618554.1%100 W · 85 L+19.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes27c233.15$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.513262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No70c230.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.615957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes19c225.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.892142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes20c210$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16818729.4%55 W · 132 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No24c185$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.610748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed No80c183.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes25c180$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+105.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes19c179.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5241349.2%203 W · 210 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.961010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes76c167.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes74c155.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7214651.4%75 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c133.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0579842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f5…4653backed Yes75c133.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes20c125.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.621,27850.2%642 W · 636 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes36c124$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7933749.6%167 W · 170 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes21c114.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.132356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…2f1abacked No26c103.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+84.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.247443.2%32 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No75c86.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.069837.8%37 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6515439.6%61 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes21c73.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.247356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No15c72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15939%23 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No29c65.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.975022%11 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes20c65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212941.1%53 W · 76 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed Yes16c64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.981625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508078.8%63 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes20c62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes32c62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1620454.9%112 W · 92 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1825…8923backed No77c46.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No79c45.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0359046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes78c44.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No64c43.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7915457.8%89 W · 65 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8849652.8%262 W · 234 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a00…59e2backed No77c32.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…94b1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No64c27.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.749659.4%57 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes73c27.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4115041.3%62 W · 88 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No47c25.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Yes74c24.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.352373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes69c21.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No79c20.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616553.9%89 W · 76 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63476.5%26 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Yes74c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.222479.2%19 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes66c17.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.852751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed No79c15.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No69c14.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No78c14.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3223855%131 W · 107 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.