Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c10190bb477ce705eeb53112066f8f5fdcf2dd8362e57533a4e2b6016b6b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,692$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 58c | 631.61$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.77 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 60c | 295.81$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 60c | 260.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 39c | 253.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 36c | 239.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 51c | 212.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 204.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 42c | 203.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 36c | 195.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 39c | 195.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 178.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 57c | 174.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 40c | 161$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 61c | 154.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 142.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 47c | 137.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 62c | 120.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 106.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 104.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 56c | 101.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 37c | 100.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 35c | 100.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 42c | 88.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 66c | 81.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 38c | 76.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 75.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 73.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 56c | 72.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 45c | 67.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…bd15backed Yes | 58c | 59.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 44c | 59.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 58c | 57.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…ec29backed No | 63c | 56.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 55.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 54.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 53.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 41c | 52.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 48c | 51.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5015…6f9dbacked No | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked No | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1108backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 44c | 36.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 39c | 36.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…6294backed No | 43c | 35.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 45c | 35.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 51c | 34.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 34.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 43c | 31.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 45c | 30.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 66c | 29.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…7ca4backed Yes | 75c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 54c | 23.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 53c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 54c | 22.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 51c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 57c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…09e0backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 65c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.