TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Conner Huertas Del Pinoof Conner Huertas Del Pino, Juan Manuel La Serna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef1b…8697backed Juan Manuel La Serna35c22,000$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.787236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Conner Huertas Del Pino61c17,775$10,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.919,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel La Serna56c9,504$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,352.528,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Conner Huertas Del Pino59c5,111$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.542131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino49c3,192$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.324,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino76c3,126$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.2115351%78 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Conner Huertas Del Pino56c2,813$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.854,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Conner Huertas Del Pino52c2,667$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.0433737.1%125 W · 212 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino55c2,037$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.066,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c1,919$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.555,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Manuel La Serna28c1,869$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.982,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Juan Manuel La Serna19c1,565$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…39ebbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino76c1,239$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.824259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Conner Huertas Del Pino64c1,063$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.624,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Juan Manuel La Serna31c957.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Conner Huertas Del Pino67c778.39$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.513,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Manuel La Serna33c771.81$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.351,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Juan Manuel La Serna26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Conner Huertas Del Pino68c704.81$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.553,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Manuel La Serna20c581.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.865,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…8893backed Juan Manuel La Serna27c453.48$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.432638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c404.61$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.731,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Juan Manuel La Serna54c394.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8622647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Juan Manuel La Serna61c379$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1956744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Juan Manuel La Serna14c354.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503850%19 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino74c352.13$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.012,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna34c335.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.061,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino72c329.47$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.916,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna31c320.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1236058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Conner Huertas Del Pino55c259.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.584,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Juan Manuel La Serna39c246.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.952,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Conner Huertas Del Pino71c211.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.571,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Juan Manuel La Serna28c201$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.772,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Conner Huertas Del Pino37c184$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Juan Manuel La Serna37c176.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Juan Manuel La Serna42c167.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.816469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c162.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4917257%98 W · 74 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino69c161.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Conner Huertas Del Pino55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.565346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c147.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Juan Manuel La Serna69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Manuel La Serna35c141.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Conner Huertas Del Pino57c138.82$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.262,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Juan Manuel La Serna37c137.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna59c137.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.374944.9%22 W · 27 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Manuel La Serna18c125.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.846,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Conner Huertas Del Pino79c118.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino78c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.67751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7475…fc7ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna40c105.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0810339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c103$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.021,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Conner Huertas Del Pino80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Conner Huertas Del Pino31c95.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.587,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6c…89d4backed Conner Huertas Del Pino58c86.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec0…639ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna25c86.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.261414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-34.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Juan Manuel La Serna35c82.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2975640.1%303 W · 453 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Conner Huertas Del Pino42c79.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Juan Manuel La Serna26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino64c74.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.014,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino42c66.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Conner Huertas Del Pino67c58.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.199,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4462727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Conner Huertas Del Pino32c48.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.835,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c45.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Conner Huertas Del Pino69c44.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.932,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Juan Manuel La Serna33c44.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7835329.7%105 W · 248 L-34.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Juan Manuel La Serna33c44.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Conner Huertas Del Pino35c43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286740.3%27 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Juan Manuel La Serna42c42.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.684,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Conner Huertas Del Pino72c41.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6423272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Juan Manuel La Serna37c40.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Juan Manuel La Serna55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Conner Huertas Del Pino72c38.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6556070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed Juan Manuel La Serna26c38.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0511942%50 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Juan Manuel La Serna37c37.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Juan Manuel La Serna62c37.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1691755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Conner Huertas Del Pino54c35.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.193,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17a…f7b2backed Conner Huertas Del Pino72c33.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.273953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Conner Huertas Del Pino54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7879646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d5…e65abacked Conner Huertas Del Pino65c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.399750.5%49 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Juan Manuel La Serna68c25.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Juan Manuel La Serna65c25.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.669057.2%395 W · 295 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Conner Huertas Del Pino58c20.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6613966.2%92 W · 47 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Juan Manuel La Serna65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1393557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Juan Manuel La Serna61c18.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0413063.1%82 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.