MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba71f3a2399490b7ba72046d29698012517af75c7da24b86f0088290eafe47ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof San Diego Padres, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 4,987$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.15 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,145$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,122$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,070$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.56 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 917.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 849.55$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.13 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 845.2$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.34 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…e29dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 775.43$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 721.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 659.34$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 608$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 602.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 440.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 412$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 410.82$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 350.49$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 322.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 312.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 311.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 264.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…f7c5backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 253.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 222.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 204.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 185.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 170.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 162.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 121.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 120.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 112.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 105.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 104.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 102.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 99.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 99.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 83.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 80.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 75.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 67.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 64.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 60.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 60.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 54.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 50.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 39.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…1bd0backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 33.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…3e16backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 20.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles AngelsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.