Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabb0501e7b07212d3ab8ac89b81f1bfcc78f12eba8e82300bdf87258adbc9c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed Yes | 38c | 1,418$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.91 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 678.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 53c | 425.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 58c | 384.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 49c | 334.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 333.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 238.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 35c | 229.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 212.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 50c | 209.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 201$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 45c | 185.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 60c | 178$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 50c | 148.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 138.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 61c | 135.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 53c | 108.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 52c | 104.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 47c | 104.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 52c | 97.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 54c | 97.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 66c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 56c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 84.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 61c | 79.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 64c | 73.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 71.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 64c | 70.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 51c | 61.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 54c | 61.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d779backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 57c | 58.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 57.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 57.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 55c | 56.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 56.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 42c | 53.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 52.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 61c | 51.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 51c | 49.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 49c | 45.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…f245backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 58c | 39.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 38.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 49c | 38.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 57c | 38.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed No | 58c | 35.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 51c | 31.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…d4c9backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…f54abacked Yes | 50c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 47c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 56c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 56c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…963dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…d9dabacked Yes | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 59c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.