TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Remy Bertola

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Basingof Max Basing, Remy Bertola
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc5a2…6dd9backed Remy Bertola76c78,517$60,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,048.822356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Max Basing26c52,709$13,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,164.018,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Max Basing20c26,147$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,972.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Max Basing22c17,903$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,021.793,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Max Basing25c14,609$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,943.1511342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Max Basing33c12,183$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Remy Bertola61c8,109$4,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951.6971729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Max Basing60c5,100$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Max Basing23c4,836$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.044,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Remy Bertola66c3,900$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5743348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Remy Bertola57c2,934$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.553063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Max Basing44c2,494$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.221,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Max Basing45c2,230$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.833540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Basing55c2,101$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Remy Bertola79c1,916$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.3348152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Remy Bertola8c1,755$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Remy Bertola79c1,752$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.881,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Max Basing29c1,564$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.6213048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Basing20c1,468$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.954,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Remy Bertola68c1,150$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.8910349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Remy Bertola3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 61 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582b…d4e2backed Remy Bertola79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Basing28c919.91$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.655,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Basing34c902.79$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Remy Bertola58c862.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Remy Bertola75c852$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6391,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Max Basing46c844.35$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3531436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Remy Bertola63c819.79$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Remy Bertola71c785.9$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.992,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Remy Bertola68c735$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.829649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Max Basing45c670.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0727732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd029…6253backed Remy Bertola58c663.91$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Remy Bertola58c621$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1815762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Remy Bertola53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31832735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Max Basing36c558.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4685348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Max Basing32c546.66$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.072,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Remy Bertola48c541.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Remy Bertola56c509.37$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.535955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Max Basing58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Basing25c489.89$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.924,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Remy Bertola59c474.09$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.82,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Max Basing46c427.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Max Basing28c408.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.61,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Basing22c396$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.313,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Remy Bertola66c381.44$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4430235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Remy Bertola69c381$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8944758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Basing32c368.8$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.783,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765d…610bbacked Remy Bertola50c365.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Max Basing39c308.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.61,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Remy Bertola9c297.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2875312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Remy Bertola65c295.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7992145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Remy Bertola68c295.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007749.4%38 W · 39 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Max Basing33c266.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.675,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa670…55d2backed Remy Bertola64c265$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Remy Bertola79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Basing33c249.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.453,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Remy Bertola70c244.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.411,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Max Basing34c226.35$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Max Basing44c222.73$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7310143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Max Basing39c205.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.122,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Remy Bertola57c202.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4590335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Remy Bertola45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Remy Bertola62c196$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.764,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Remy Bertola78c192.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Remy Bertola58c189.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Max Basing23c177.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.566,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Remy Bertola52c177$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8946957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe29…69f9backed Remy Bertola58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Max Basing46c162.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.093,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Remy Bertola60c158$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.826244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Remy Bertola64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Remy Bertola67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Remy Bertola58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Remy Bertola65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Basing30c117.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.38,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Max Basing34c116.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.931,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Remy Bertola55c114.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6328348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Max Basing66c114.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2952355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Max Basing34c114.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.431,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Max Basing33c103.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.921,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Remy Bertola65c103.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.982,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Remy Bertola35c100.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.215,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Remy Bertola64c100.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4794447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff5a…af9fbacked Max Basing33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.994934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Remy Bertola59c97.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Remy Bertola73c96.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.142,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Max Basing13c92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.042,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Basing20c89.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.096,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Max Basing52c89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.824,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Max Basing33c88.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5624748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Remy Bertola57c87.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Max Basing43c81.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.031,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Remy Bertola63c79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Max Basing25c78.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0835649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2955…794abacked Max Basing34c76.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.352748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Remy Bertola50c75.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.181,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e8…c85fbacked Max Basing26c74.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.056448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Remy Bertola67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Max Basing47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4779646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Max Basing44c73.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0511045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.