MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc12f113cfeb3473ce15b6dfdfd9416081bb81bdedd9bd37ab3f2f6ff5f53fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 51,181$22,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,673 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 12,868$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216.49 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 6,807$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,386$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 4,812$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.61 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 3,316$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.9 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 2,431$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.11 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,710$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Los Angeles Angels | 3c | 1,704$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 680.71$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 521.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 521.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 480.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 430.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 350.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 340.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 284.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 272.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 184.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 167.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 149.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 144$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 133.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 127.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 114.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 91.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +448.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 73.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…30b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…437fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 37.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…3b79backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…22c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 20.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.