MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff14e839f47b1b292ee9424f5429d8fa299f6d411bc2479be53c27405095d9a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 256,835$126,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,751.25 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 89,561$54,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,428.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 44,263$27,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,282.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 30,000$13,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,374.98 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 27,849$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,567.9 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 20,974$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,003.78 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 19,361$8,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 17,370$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.57 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 11,858$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.78 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 11,530$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.39 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 10,168$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.95 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 8,343$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.28 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 6,768$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.33 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 6,681$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.79 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f1…4a46backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 6,298$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 5,996$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.17 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 5,848$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.82 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,549$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.07 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 5,146$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.44 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 4,553$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.1 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 4,476$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.84 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 4,248$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.26 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 3,712$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.44 | 222 | 41%91 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 3,558$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.26 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 3,368$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.43 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 3,287$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.71 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 2,894$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.83 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,667$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.24 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,604$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.67 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,419$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.79 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,375$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,308$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.61 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 2,197$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,106$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.36 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 1,743$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.05 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,695$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,677$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.91 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,666$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,641$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.22 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,638$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.8 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,529$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.16 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,400$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,376$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.33 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,230$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.6 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 1,216$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 1,197$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,188$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.21 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 1,115$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.38 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,093$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.24 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 988.52$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.62 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 934.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 912.12$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 900.69$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 888$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 787.82$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.96 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 700$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.69 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 687.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.24 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 669.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 666$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 659.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 626.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 614.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.08 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…9b18backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 593.48$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…2737backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 540.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 523.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 491.04$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 487.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 477.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.32 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 386.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 372.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 370.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 360.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 359.49$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 346.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 327.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 323.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 319.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 314.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…82a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 312.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 309.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.