Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb5e6231f35ef917d43bcea87529dbb85c3afcfa16d55c54a89496627a20296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 47c | 8,293$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.06 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Under | 54c | 5,329$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…ef3cbacked Under | 54c | 2,630$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 2,306$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.69 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 2,129$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.86 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…2ec3backed Over | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Over | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.84 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under | 53c | 1,587$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.59 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Over | 46c | 878.2$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 44c | 807.73$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.48 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 47c | 732.85$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.44 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 47c | 721$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 54c | 606.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 575.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 571.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 459.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 53c | 433.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Under | 62c | 352.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…e3e1backed Over | 50c | 338.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 12c | 323.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Under | 67c | 294.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 46c | 262.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 247.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 215.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 78c | 181.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 177.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 48c | 173.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 53c | 165.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 54c | 154.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 46c | 147.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 54c | 141.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 46c | 136.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 78c | 117.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 67c | 109.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under | 55c | 108.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 54c | 107.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 53c | 105.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Over | 47c | 103.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 48c | 93.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 92.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 48c | 79.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 68c | 63.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 64c | 61.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 75c | 59.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 48c | 49.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 55c | 44.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…e909backed Over | 47c | 42.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 46c | 41.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…a1e0backed Over | 46c | 41.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 46c | 41.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed Over | 46c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 74c | 34.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Under | 67c | 27.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.