MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23a3cf3f39d8c178e7762c2d1b0e196ab7abe945e008a5a7de6bc9fe5514e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Hanwha Eagles, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 1,826$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.85 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 1,196$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Samsung Lions | 24c | 1,189$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.49 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 974.34$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanwha Eagles | 78c | 683.04$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 401.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Hanwha Eagles | 68c | 355.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 64c | 287.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 282.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 30c | 273.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Hanwha Eagles | 76c | 262.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 261.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 248$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 245$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…6eb7backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 225$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 222.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 216.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 201.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 190.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hanwha Eagles | 62c | 144$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Hanwha Eagles | 73c | 128$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 124.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 122.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Samsung Lions | 33c | 90.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Hanwha Eagles | 69c | 89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Hanwha Eagles | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 79.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hanwha Eagles | 33c | 74.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 70.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Hanwha Eagles | 80c | 59.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Samsung Lions | 27c | 58.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 58.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Samsung Lions | 23c | 48.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 46.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 42.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hanwha Eagles | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hanwha Eagles | 66c | 39.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Hanwha Eagles | 66c | 39.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 39.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Hanwha Eagles | 60c | 36.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 36.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 65c | 34.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Hanwha Eagles | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.