Tennis · resolved market
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Tyler Zink
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5fba0e2b14eca92c9ad0ed99cc88bff8869387aea6253cc80bc466f629247c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Tyler Zink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tyler Zink | 15c | 12,194$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.41 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tyler Zink | 13c | 9,352$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Colton Smith | 79c | 5,080$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.65 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tyler Zink | 15c | 3,332$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Colton Smith | 78c | 2,013$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Tyler Zink | 15c | 1,098$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Tyler Zink | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tyler Zink | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Colton Smith | 54c | 816.2$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith | 64c | 800$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tyler Zink | 13c | 765.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Tyler Zink | 4c | 669.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Colton Smith | 80c | 657.77$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Colton Smith | 63c | 598.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Colton Smith | 70c | 583$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Tyler Zink | 26c | 579.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Tyler Zink | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tyler Zink | 11c | 495$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Tyler Zink | 27c | 464.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tyler Zink | 10c | 427.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Colton Smith | 73c | 405.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Colton Smith | 65c | 398.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…7d02backed Tyler Zink | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Tyler Zink | 18c | 373.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tyler Zink | 28c | 362.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Colton Smith | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Tyler Zink | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Tyler Zink | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Colton Smith | 67c | 279.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tyler Zink | 27c | 263.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Tyler Zink | 15c | 167.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Tyler Zink | 15c | 156.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…17e8backed Tyler Zink | 15c | 156.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tyler Zink | 36c | 154.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Colton Smith | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Tyler Zink | 9c | 153.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tyler Zink | 18c | 148.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tyler Zink | 40c | 137.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tyler Zink | 8c | 129.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Tyler Zink | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tyler Zink | 10c | 121.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Tyler Zink | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Tyler Zink | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Tyler Zink | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tyler Zink | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Tyler Zink | 39c | 89.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Colton Smith | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Colton Smith | 63c | 79.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colton Smith | 72c | 79.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Colton Smith | 75c | 76.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Tyler Zink | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tyler Zink | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Colton Smith | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Tyler Zink | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Colton Smith | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Colton Smith | 72c | 64.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tyler Zink | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Colton Smith | 69c | 57.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Colton Smith | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Colton Smith | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Colton Smith | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Colton Smith | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Tyler Zink | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Colton Smith | 75c | 39.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Colton Smith | 70c | 37.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Colton Smith | 70c | 37.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Colton Smith | 54c | 34.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Colton Smith | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Colton Smith | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Tyler Zink | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tyler Zink | 36c | 31.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Colton Smith | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Colton Smith | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colton Smith | 70c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Colton Smith | 70c | 26.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…3535backed Colton Smith | 75c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 114 | 73.7%84 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Colton Smith | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…4c00backed Colton Smith | 73c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Colton Smith | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked Colton Smith | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 73cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Tyler Zinkthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs ZinkSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.