Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Kylie Collins vs Alana Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b34c0906c8f959fc0e21ea7470a68011a7ebb30c0d84860c128bd9682c6d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kylie Collinsof Kylie Collins, Alana Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alana Smith | 4c | 18,983$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.48 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alana Smith | 55c | 4,800$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.56 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alana Smith | 39c | 4,698$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.12 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alana Smith | 45c | 4,521$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.51 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kylie Collins | 54c | 4,028$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.47 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kylie Collins | 68c | 1,753$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.65 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kylie Collins | 56c | 1,189$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.95 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alana Smith | 59c | 1,158$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.46 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Kylie Collins | 41c | 1,050$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.65 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Alana Smith | 36c | 750$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Smith | 32c | 690.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kylie Collins | 34c | 647.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kylie Collins | 40c | 496.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kylie Collins | 72c | 481.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Alana Smith | 60c | 466.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alana Smith | 30c | 417.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kylie Collins | 42c | 414.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alana Smith | 4c | 399.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Alana Smith | 5c | 288.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Kylie Collins | 38c | 272.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alana Smith | 14c | 263$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Alana Smith | 60c | 248.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 242.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…0b3fbacked Kylie Collins | 62c | 213.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kylie Collins | 74c | 213.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kylie Collins | 79c | 190.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alana Smith | 7c | 189.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kylie Collins | 40c | 172.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Alana Smith | 18c | 170.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alana Smith | 10c | 165.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kylie Collins | 41c | 153.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kylie Collins | 64c | 151.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Alana Smith | 60c | 150.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Alana Smith | 33c | 146.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Smith | 33c | 144.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alana Smith | 39c | 132.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 798 | 57.6%460 W · 338 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alana Smith | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Kylie Collins | 73c | 102.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alana Smith | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Alana Smith | 60c | 99.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alana Smith | 50c | 99.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kylie Collins | 41c | 98.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…90bbbacked Alana Smith | 50c | 97.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kylie Collins | 62c | 87.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1,219 | 55%670 W · 549 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Alana Smith | 60c | 83.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Alana Smith | 60c | 83.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alana Smith | 61c | 82.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kylie Collins | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Kylie Collins | 40c | 78.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alana Smith | 41c | 73.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Alana Smith | 40c | 73.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Kylie Collins | 70c | 71.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alana Smith | 60c | 69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alana Smith | 40c | 68.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alana Smith | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Kylie Collins | 39c | 63.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Kylie Collins | 40c | 61.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Kylie Collins | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Alana Smith | 33c | 59.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alana Smith | 21c | 58.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Kylie Collins | 49c | 47.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Kylie Collins | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Kylie Collins | 41c | 42.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alana Smith | 54c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Alana Smith | 45c | 37.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Alana Smith | 42c | 35.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kylie Collins | 45c | 33.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kylie Collins | 39c | 32.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kylie Collins | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Kylie Collins | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Kylie Collins | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 332 | 56.6%188 W · 144 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Alana Smith | 58c | 29.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Alana Smith | 58c | 25.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kylie Collins | 56c | 25.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alana Smith | 46c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kylie Collins | 67c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Kylie Collins vs Alana Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Collins vs SmithCollins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.