Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7bbbdb257fc1bfb90ef574c5b10075757425aa94b2d7933dfcfe84fea32f87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed No | 3c | 3,871$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…cfd4backed No | 19c | 2,435$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.47 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 49c | 703.07$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.47 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 42c | 664.81$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.35 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 50c | 337.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 70c | 314.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 54c | 232.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 229.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 55c | 203.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 43c | 189.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 46c | 188.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 178.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 38c | 175.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 165.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked Yes | 66c | 134.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 68 | 94.1%64 W · 4 L | +12.7wins | +0.19per pick | 75cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 127.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 43c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 53c | 102.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 49c | 101.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 95.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked No | 66c | 93.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 42c | 83.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 59c | 77.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 44c | 74.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 52c | 74.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 49c | 71.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 71.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 18c | 64.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…8ef9backed Yes | 75c | 51.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 50.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 50.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 49.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 47.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 57c | 46.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 46.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 57c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 48c | 44.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 38c | 42.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 41.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…7ee8backed Yes | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +228.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 33c | 38.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 39c | 38.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 32c | 35.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 59c | 32.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 46c | 32.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 61c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 58c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0172…92aebacked Yes | 50c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 59c | 29.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 28.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 55c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…cde9backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 44c | 24.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 48c | 24.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 52c | 23.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 50c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 67c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6ef7backed No | 62c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…b050backed No | 60c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 61c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.