TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes75c500.73$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.292588%22 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No43c399.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed No49c208.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes59c167.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3720250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No16c138.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes51c110.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4876445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed Yes57c102$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.863360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed No44c91.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.223860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No47c82.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2735954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No35c38.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes51c27.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.324965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked Yes51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7618641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes51c20.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8248636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661a…e9e8backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…7a6ebacked Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.