TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No42c861.43$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.934151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes48c816.42$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5176445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes11c492.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2364738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes60c270$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes14c169.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No57c160$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No43c156.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6235954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed No52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5855044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed No38c79.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.593860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes44c74.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9213530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes62c56.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes60c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.516847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.311133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.535958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No49c49.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.497045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6b…cf5ebacked No50c41.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes55c26.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed No52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2818641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3379…6ceabacked No52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…dc01backed No52c20.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0e…524cbacked No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.