Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92752a9cc79f59faf6a37fef2d09ebe6963e24a64765c9348bf0e28e5afc475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 860.77$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.05 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 58c | 586.71$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.47 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 56c | 389.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 46c | 321.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 51c | 274.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 52c | 219.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 195.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 184.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 179.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 170.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 63c | 157$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 64c | 155.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 22c | 155.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 135.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 49c | 135.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 129.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 118.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 45c | 118.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 113.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 60c | 108.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 63c | 105.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 58c | 102.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 62c | 97.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 96.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 48c | 96.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 43c | 88.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 66c | 87.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 47c | 80.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…86fdbacked No | 37c | 77.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 44c | 74.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 52c | 67.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 47c | 65.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 56c | 64.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…d952backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed No | 44c | 57.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 67c | 57.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 37c | 55.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 44c | 55.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…4b3dbacked Yes | 65c | 50.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 46c | 40.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 34c | 37.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 46c | 36.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a1…5ef3backed Yes | 74c | 36.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 69c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 44c | 35.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 41c | 32.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 42c | 26.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 67c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 51c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 62c | 16.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…3ae7backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.