Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Mees Rottgering
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e9c9be8b822a345c8eceee2e07f54587755397cfda3db1ae67df6f3f1a0273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Feryof Arthur Fery, Mees Rottgering
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mees Rottgering | 12c | 25,934$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.22 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mees Rottgering | 10c | 22,624$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.68 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Mees Rottgering | 9c | 10,585$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.94 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mees Rottgering | 22c | 8,365$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Arthur Fery | 74c | 5,196$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.18 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Fery | 65c | 3,969$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.54 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked Arthur Fery | 77c | 3,675$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mees Rottgering | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Arthur Fery | 80c | 2,618$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 260 | 65%169 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mees Rottgering | 36c | 2,009$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.35 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Arthur Fery | 72c | 1,892$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.86 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arthur Fery | 66c | 1,807$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.38 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Mees Rottgering | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Arthur Fery | 78c | 1,252$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mees Rottgering | 17c | 1,242$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Mees Rottgering | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Mees Rottgering | 21c | 600.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mees Rottgering | 17c | 583.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Mees Rottgering | 35c | 551.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Mees Rottgering | 33c | 518.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Mees Rottgering | 33c | 499.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Mees Rottgering | 22c | 466.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Arthur Fery | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mees Rottgering | 9c | 385.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Arthur Fery | 80c | 362.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Mees Rottgering | 5c | 355.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mees Rottgering | 16c | 300.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Arthur Fery | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…aa34backed Arthur Fery | 67c | 293.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Mees Rottgering | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mees Rottgering | 14c | 243.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Fery | 71c | 224.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Arthur Fery | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arthur Fery | 64c | 176$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Mees Rottgering | 6c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Fery | 79c | 140.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Mees Rottgering | 41c | 135.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Mees Rottgering | 23c | 128.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Fery | 64c | 120.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Arthur Fery | 79c | 108.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Arthur Fery | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed Mees Rottgering | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…6b15backed Arthur Fery | 67c | 90.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Mees Rottgering | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mees Rottgering | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arthur Fery | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Arthur Fery | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arthur Fery | 78c | 78.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Arthur Fery | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Arthur Fery | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Mees Rottgering | 17c | 73.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Mees Rottgering | 33c | 65.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Arthur Fery | 73c | 60.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Mees Rottgering | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Mees Rottgering | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Arthur Fery | 66c | 55.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Arthur Fery | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mees Rottgering | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Arthur Fery | 67c | 32.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Arthur Fery | 70c | 30.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Arthur Fery | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Arthur Fery | 66c | 25.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…c980backed Arthur Fery | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Arthur Fery | 60c | 21.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Arthur Fery | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 144 | 96.5%139 W · 5 L | +36.7wins | +0.25per pick | 71cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Arthur Fery | 67c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Arthur Fery | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 176 | 88.6%156 W · 20 L | +40.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Arthur Fery | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Mees Rottgeringthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs RottgeringFery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.