TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
regainof FarmVille, regain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x256b…cd5dbacked FarmVille64c3,460$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.674452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FarmVille70c2,596$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.351,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed FarmVille2c1,759$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7342427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked FarmVille1c1,678$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed FarmVille1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed regain70c1,343$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.512,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed regain29c1,323$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.6878043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FarmVille60c1,245$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.212,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0a…3540backed FarmVille54c1,109$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed regain30c1,047$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.015,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked FarmVille1c1,046$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.469020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc301…6760backed FarmVille1c1,013$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked FarmVille1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked regain50c917.7$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.855,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FarmVille43c835.34$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.962,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed FarmVille4c766.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed regain37c631.75$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8133237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked FarmVille3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked regain78c591.57$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.262,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed FarmVille52c535.77$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4828434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked FarmVille50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked FarmVille3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked FarmVille3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FarmVille55c475.33$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.131,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed regain29c464.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.254,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked regain51c423.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2068941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked regain62c422.08$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.341,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed regain55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed FarmVille14c357.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FarmVille57c342.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.914,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed FarmVille4c336.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3174239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdba…6df4backed FarmVille72c318.58$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed regain44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061f…fc87backed FarmVille56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked regain43c229.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.31,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa376…c17dbacked FarmVille13c220$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked regain49c208.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6331647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FarmVille64c206.72$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.883,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed regain39c203.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.31,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FarmVille33c195.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.582,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FarmVille54c180.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.267,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked FarmVille19c175$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.436334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FarmVille60c167.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed regain54c165.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.573663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed FarmVille30c164.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FarmVille64c126.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.972,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed regain23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.457935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked regain40c101.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5242149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked regain57c101.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.95,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…27fbbacked regain45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed regain53c98.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1131051.3%159 W · 151 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked regain36c98.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1838942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed regain26c94.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6735848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked regain34c89.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6422534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed regain56c88.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed regain42c88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0481551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed regain41c85.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2524558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FarmVille64c82.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed FarmVille62c82.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8814137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked FarmVille46c81.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.326246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed regain46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed regain54c74.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3711850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked regain15c73.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4119231.3%60 W · 132 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FarmVille45c73.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.931,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FarmVille47c73.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked regain53c73.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3535752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FarmVille77c73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.213,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed regain48c72.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.991,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked FarmVille57c72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810247.1%48 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed FarmVille62c71.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.596758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FarmVille63c70.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1555950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FarmVille35c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.542,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed regain49c60.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9952951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked regain27c59.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.094850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed regain23c53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8136845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed regain42c53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7475048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed regain30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed FarmVille73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked FarmVille63c49.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.179970.7%70 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e9…4c3cbacked FarmVille68c47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed FarmVille79c42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.188365.1%54 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed regain38c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.228639.5%34 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fea…c9cbbacked regain25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed FarmVille50c39.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7917257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed regain54c37.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2523644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked FarmVille40c32.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed regain52c29.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1684856%475 W · 373 L+31.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed FarmVille44c27.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2428048.6%136 W · 144 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…13febacked regain79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked regain45c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4448652.3%254 W · 232 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed FarmVille73c20.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6464439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked regain56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88248.8%40 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked regain79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.998988.8%79 W · 10 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+14.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a5…b0b1backed regain77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.