Lol · resolved market
LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb3accb99485c62bbad6f8ee54c06b450d4b9a5e03d4d47b9f6a92731eea8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof VfB eSports, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed VfB eSports | 9c | 6,000$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.99 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed VfB eSports | 30c | 2,237$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.41 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 1,317$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.62 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed VfB eSports | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed VfB eSports | 27c | 1,074$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed VfB eSports | 19c | 1,053$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VfB eSports | 21c | 862.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 855$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed VfB eSports | 28c | 819.85$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 799.83$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 762.13$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 749.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed VfB eSports | 26c | 547.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB eSports | 6c | 506.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed VfB eSports | 25c | 504.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed VfB eSports | 10c | 491.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…a3ebbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 439.59$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed VfB eSports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 10.4%57 W · 493 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked VfB eSports | 26c | 390.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…e78cbacked VfB eSports | 26c | 378.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed VfB eSports | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VfB eSports | 14c | 284$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 204.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked VfB eSports | 5c | 200.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 181.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed VfB eSports | 17c | 178.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed VfB eSports | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked VfB eSports | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 135.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 133.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed VfB eSports | 26c | 117.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked VfB eSports | 25c | 109.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed VfB eSports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…e737backed VfB eSports | 27c | 99.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 200 | 24.5%49 W · 151 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 97.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 97.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked VfB eSports | 30c | 92.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 70c | 92.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 398 | 56.5%225 W · 173 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked VfB eSports | 24c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,042 | 39.6%413 W · 629 L | -73.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed VfB eSports | 24c | 74.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 535 | 32.3%173 W · 362 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked VfB eSports | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 62.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VfB eSports | 19c | 61.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked VfB eSports | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked VfB eSports | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed VfB eSports | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked VfB eSports | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 49.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VfB eSports | 23c | 44.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 76c | 25.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…6321backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.