Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd275a81f716f67cbbe8a897fec7acc655e6b63ab4705e620d9c2796fc717387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 56c | 220.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 208.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 38c | 203.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 185.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 171.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 168.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…4e3bbacked Yes | 45c | 156.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 67c | 142.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 55c | 136.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 127.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 42c | 117.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 64c | 110.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 103.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…4b3dbacked Yes | 44c | 92.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 34c | 79.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 78.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 73c | 77.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 76.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 69.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 66.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…9321backed Yes | 52c | 65.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 64.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 62.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 60.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 60.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 35c | 60.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 32c | 59.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 58.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 57.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 35c | 54.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 53.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 57c | 52.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 61c | 51.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 55c | 50.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 48.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 55c | 47.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 42c | 47.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…d85bbacked Yes | 68c | 47.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 57c | 46.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 46.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 42c | 46.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 45.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 61c | 44.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 33c | 39.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…5e85backed Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…22acbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 63c | 29.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 28.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 56c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 58c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 61c | 26.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 48c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 63c | 16.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or higher on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.