Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4c6e682258305c5a877000a9df1dd1711f2058fda31da46bce4a1a3d9ab13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 55c | 2,592$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.14 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,618$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 67c | 1,369$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 735.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 499.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 455.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 63c | 422.04$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 37c | 406.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 388.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 326.84$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 264.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 256.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 252.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 45c | 242$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…787cbacked Yes | 16c | 198$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 39c | 187.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 63c | 180.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 172$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 35c | 166.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 149.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 35c | 149.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…4ee9backed Yes | 45c | 148.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 147.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 36c | 146.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked No | 65c | 140.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 40c | 138.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8416…051cbacked Yes | 45c | 136.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 69c | 135.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 38c | 131.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 62c | 112.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 63c | 110.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 60c | 108.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 64c | 106.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 93.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 92.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 40c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 61c | 83.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 60c | 80.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 62c | 76.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 45c | 67.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 40c | 57.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 51.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 50.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 75c | 49.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 43.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 39c | 42.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 61c | 38.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 38c | 37.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…c585backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 42c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…6da7backed No | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 62c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…0e61backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…1303backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 76c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.