Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Bernard Tomic vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceeebe96f9d6315a0a3957abfa78195c7dafe9873e7083583eceb5a7f5afaf38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernard Tomicof Bernard Tomic, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick | 10c | 12,780$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bernard Tomic | 59c | 3,552$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.5 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braden Shick | 13c | 2,597$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Braden Shick | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Braden Shick | 9c | 2,223$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Bernard Tomic | 74c | 2,071$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 1,627$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.17 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Braden Shick | 10c | 1,625$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Braden Shick | 41c | 1,451$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Bernard Tomic | 76c | 1,439$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick | 38c | 1,433$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernard Tomic | 59c | 1,412$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Braden Shick | 39c | 1,265$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Braden Shick | 29c | 999.7$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Braden Shick | 16c | 869.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Braden Shick | 37c | 755.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Braden Shick | 36c | 719.97$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 593.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Braden Shick | 38c | 559.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…c7b1backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 540$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Braden Shick | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Braden Shick | 40c | 372.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Braden Shick | 5c | 349.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Braden Shick | 19c | 337.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Braden Shick | 20c | 332.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Braden Shick | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Braden Shick | 36c | 300.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Bernard Tomic | 69c | 292$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Braden Shick | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Braden Shick | 6c | 231$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Braden Shick | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Braden Shick | 33c | 195.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Braden Shick | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Braden Shick | 14c | 155.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 153.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Braden Shick | 15c | 144.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…505ebacked Braden Shick | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 131.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Braden Shick | 23c | 126.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Braden Shick | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Braden Shick | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bernard Tomic | 60c | 109.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 107$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Braden Shick | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Braden Shick | 35c | 101.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Braden Shick | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Braden Shick | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Braden Shick | 42c | 88.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Braden Shick | 17c | 85.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Braden Shick | 14c | 80.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 61.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Braden Shick | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Braden Shick | 35c | 50.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Bernard Tomic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Braden Shick | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Bernard Tomic | 58c | 44.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Braden Shick | 38c | 43.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Bernard Tomic | 60c | 40.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Braden Shick | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bernard Tomic | 76c | 39.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Braden Shick | 40c | 37.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Bernard Tomic | 62c | 37.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Braden Shick | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Bernard Tomic | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Braden Shick | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.