TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Max Schoenhaus vs Luca Van Assche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Schoenhausof Max Schoenhaus, Luca Van Assche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Luca Van Assche22c7,626$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.394,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f04…7994backed Luca Van Assche14c6,852$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9704628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Luca Van Assche25c6,694$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Max Schoenhaus80c4,048$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.0960053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Max Schoenhaus58c1,627$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.865651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Schoenhaus65c1,412$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.434,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Luca Van Assche71c1,315$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.3814162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…517abacked Max Schoenhaus60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Luca Van Assche7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Max Schoenhaus30c1,072$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.7326049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Luca Van Assche35c1,009$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Max Schoenhaus29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Max Schoenhaus29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Luca Van Assche70c992.4$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.683,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luca Van Assche22c754.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.128,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Van Assche8c712.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.454,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luca Van Assche27c688.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.645,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luca Van Assche11c500.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.657,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Luca Van Assche49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21062545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Luca Van Assche7c412.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Max Schoenhaus57c411.26$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.844465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Luca Van Assche69c368.81$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4854746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Van Assche10c363.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Schoenhaus71c342.11$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.116,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Max Schoenhaus31c333$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7730436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Luca Van Assche7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Luca Van Assche49c267.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13148935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Max Schoenhaus78c240.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4530131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Max Schoenhaus71c235$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1535187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luca Van Assche20c213.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.473,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Luca Van Assche46c213.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1714829.1%43 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98b…c6f3backed Luca Van Assche72c203.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5211155%61 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Van Assche48c196$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.089,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Max Schoenhaus75c182.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.552,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Luca Van Assche14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Max Schoenhaus29c177.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2286835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luca Van Assche25c155.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x765e…b9bbbacked Luca Van Assche13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Luca Van Assche20c131.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Luca Van Assche14c125.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Max Schoenhaus71c120.25$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.332,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Max Schoenhaus29c118.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.037,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Luca Van Assche28c112.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4692145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Max Schoenhaus30c112.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.521,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed Max Schoenhaus29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d52…aabbbacked Max Schoenhaus53c109.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Max Schoenhaus30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Luca Van Assche32c91.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.438422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Luca Van Assche35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.258438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Luca Van Assche46c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Max Schoenhaus80c76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Luca Van Assche71c70.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Max Schoenhaus28c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Luca Van Assche32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Luca Van Assche18c61.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Max Schoenhaus55c54.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.071,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Max Schoenhaus56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5743358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Max Schoenhaus30c49.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9851644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Luca Van Assche72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…2a3ebacked Max Schoenhaus49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Luca Van Assche30c40.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Luca Van Assche74c36.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.861,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdf…ea3bbacked Max Schoenhaus55c36.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Max Schoenhaus31c35.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7116047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Luca Van Assche42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…d49abacked Luca Van Assche40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410637.7%40 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Max Schoenhaus30c34.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.876038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Max Schoenhaus70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Luca Van Assche71c27.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe516…1d31backed Max Schoenhaus58c25.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.517962.6%112 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad70…23f1backed Luca Van Assche49c23.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513253%70 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Luca Van Assche69c19.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4568951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Van Assche71c18.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.923,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…acfabacked Max Schoenhaus60c16.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.752839.3%11 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-39.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.