Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e05c9a0505ea8e9c28f7a28125d03f53ff648d6e103b8d27f42d3aa91ea0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe30…687fbacked No | 4c | 935.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Yes | 58c | 631.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked No | 3c | 572.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 506.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 73c | 483.01$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 443.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 379.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 373.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 77c | 342.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked No | 24c | 338.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 79c | 322.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 35c | 286.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 42c | 277.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 273.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 50c | 239.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 62c | 225.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 75c | 220.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 189.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 152.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 57c | 151.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 80c | 150.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 26c | 150.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 149.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 31c | 144.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 58c | 131.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 44c | 116.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 111.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 43c | 107.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 60c | 101.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…22f5backed Yes | 49c | 99.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 75c | 99.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…4e9cbacked Yes | 38c | 95.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 29c | 92.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked No | 44c | 78.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 65c | 77.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 25c | 77.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 76.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 45c | 75.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 75c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked Yes | 80c | 72.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 48c | 69.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…1f71backed Yes | 75c | 66.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed No | 54c | 64.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 43c | 57.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 60c | 55.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 57c | 54.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 37c | 54.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 56c | 53.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 52.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 51.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 29c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 55c | 48.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…d76ebacked Yes | 51c | 47.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 48c | 43.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…fc4cbacked No | 49c | 42.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 59c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 58c | 41.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…a7febacked Yes | 80c | 40.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 64c | 40.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 47c | 38.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 44c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 34.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 45c | 32.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 61c | 31.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 41c | 31.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…da6ebacked Yes | 41c | 28.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…d3edbacked Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…d88dbacked Yes | 41c | 26.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 67c | 25.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b8a8backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 80c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked No | 55c | 19.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823a…61abbacked No | 60c | 16.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…d73bbacked No | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 63c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 16.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.