MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdca3ade621b5a31b1500bc208f47ec893c996f5e82aaa1156e47485603b01491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 5,394$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.84 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 3,936$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 3,028$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 66c | 1,389$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.31 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 35c | 1,378$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.26 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 55c | 1,366$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 43c | 1,276$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 937$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 667$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 44c | 508.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.78 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 503.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 450$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 447.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 8c | 399$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 13c | 388$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 309.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 299.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 203.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…af91backed Over | 53c | 188.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 154.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 153.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 144.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 140.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 123.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 52c | 101.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…693cbacked Over | 52c | 96.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 50c | 93.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 46c | 87.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 38c | 85.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 82.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 79.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 76.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 72.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 65.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 47c | 63.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 50c | 45.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 31.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 43c | 31.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 59c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 60c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.