MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06d8b0b675acfb5a72c3de81574d6b4341327313b42dc9d4fe2e1d5ccc3976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 28,804$14,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,684.73 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 12,491$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,211.03 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 7,820$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.39 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.27 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,357$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.73 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,575$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,350$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,319$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 840$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 801.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 660.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 601.02$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 484.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 478.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 405$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 261$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 255.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 182.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 154.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 152.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 118$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 112.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 106.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 100.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 63.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 41.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 41.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 28.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 27.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 22.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.