MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3b7b8650783a5ed03463e549b15729ccdf22e0054ff1da65ca68515e5020ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof SSG Landers, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2938…caf8backed SSG Landers | 39c | 2,112$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.72 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 1,029$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SSG Landers | 3c | 991.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 8c | 829$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 727.53$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed SSG Landers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 451.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 428.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 391$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed SSG Landers | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed SSG Landers | 39c | 275.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 39c | 203.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…e828backed SSG Landers | 40c | 197.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 190.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 173$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 33c | 171.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 159.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 152.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…d07ebacked SSG Landers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 116.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed SSG Landers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed SSG Landers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed SSG Landers | 34c | 87.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 74.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 32c | 69.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…42a8backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 46.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked SSG Landers | 26c | 41.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SSG Landers | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.